Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Krejci wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.5% vs Patrick 51.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 69.6%
Defensive zone
Patrick 50.6%
Neutral zone
Krejci 60.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Krejci
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Krejci
Patrick
Last 10: Krejci 4-6 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
3
Krejci
Patrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
2
Krejci
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
3
Krejci
Patrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (999)
50.8% (732)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
57.8% (45)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
50.0% (2)
-1.5%
On power play, Patrick has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Krejci is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Krejci shoots right. Patrick is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Krejci
Patrick
Home
50.4% (570)
51.5% (388)
Away
46.3% (525)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Krejci
Patrick
P1
48.2%
53.7%
P2
48.2%
48.2%
P3
48.5%
52.5%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |