Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.0%). Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Patrick 51.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 60.8%
Defensive zone
Patrick 62.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 50.9%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Krejci
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
25
(40 meetings)
15
25
Krejci
Patrick
Last 10: Krejci 4-6 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Krejci
Patrick
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
7
Krejci
Patrick
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
6
12
Krejci
Patrick
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
50.6% (1,978)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
57.5% (120)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
57.7% (26)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Krejci
Patrick
Home
53.1% (5,660)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Krejci
Patrick
P1
50.7%
52.9%
P2
51.8%
49.1%
P3
50.2%
51.3%
OT
53.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | David Krejci |