Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.1% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 77.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.4%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 80.4%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Krejci
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Krejci
Gaustad
Last 6: Krejci 4-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Krejci
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (982)
56.2% (603)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
71.4% (21)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (105)
49.3% (148)
+1.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Krejci is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Krejci shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Krejci
Gaustad
Home
51.7% (571)
55.5% (366)
Away
48.5% (546)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Krejci
Gaustad
P1
52.9%
55.0%
P2
52.6%
56.9%
P3
45.0%
53.7%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | David Krejci |