Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 29-23 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 89.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 78.8%
Neutral zone
Krejci 66.5%
Result
David Krejci favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Krejci
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
29
(52 meetings)
23
29
Krejci
Gaustad
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
11
4
Krejci
Gaustad
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
18
Krejci
Gaustad
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
8
7
Krejci
Gaustad
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.6%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
65.4% (188)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Krejci
Gaustad
Home
53.1% (5,660)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Krejci
Gaustad
P1
50.7%
58.2%
P2
51.8%
56.4%
P3
50.2%
58.3%
OT
53.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |