Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 70.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 94.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 82.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Krejci
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Krejci
Kuraly
Last 9: Krejci 7-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
5
1
Krejci
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
49.2% (901)
-2.0%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
68.2% (22)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
49.8% (219)
-14.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Krejci
Kuraly
Home
52.0% (381)
51.7% (603)
Away
42.6% (359)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Krejci
Kuraly
P1
47.2%
50.9%
P2
43.7%
49.5%
P3
51.9%
49.1%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | David Krejci |