Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 50.2%
Defensive zone
Krejci 64.0%
Neutral zone
Krejci 57.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Krejci
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Krejci
Aho
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Krejci
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Krejci
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
2
Krejci
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
48.5% (778)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
63.4% (191)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
50.8% (65)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Krejci
Aho
Home
52.0% (381)
51.3% (530)
Away
42.6% (359)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Krejci
Aho
P1
47.2%
50.0%
P2
43.7%
51.3%
P3
51.9%
52.1%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |