Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Krejci wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Crosby 52.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 60.3%
Defensive zone
Krejci 78.5%
Neutral zone
Krejci 66.8%
Result
David Krejci favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Krejci
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Krejci
Crosby
Last 8: Krejci 3-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Krejci
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Krejci
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
52.5% (1,443)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
54.7% (369)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
55.9% (34)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Krejci shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Krejci
Crosby
Home
52.0% (381)
53.0% (931)
Away
42.6% (359)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Krejci
Crosby
P1
47.2%
50.3%
P2
43.7%
55.4%
P3
51.9%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | David Krejci |