Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 75.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 79.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Krejci
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Krejci
Stamkos
Last 10: Krejci 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
1
Krejci
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
1
Krejci
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Krejci
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
55.3% (628)
-8.1%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
55.1% (216)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
40.2% (87)
-4.9%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Krejci is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Krejci shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stamkos
Home
52.0% (381)
55.5% (499)
Away
42.6% (359)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Krejci
Stamkos
P1
47.2%
50.7%
P2
43.7%
53.8%
P3
51.9%
55.9%
OT
40.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |