Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Connolly 47.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 68.0%
Defensive zone
Connolly 69.4%
Neutral zone
Connolly 67.9%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Krejci
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Krejci
Connolly
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
6
Krejci
Connolly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
3
4
Krejci
Connolly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
6
7
Krejci
Connolly
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
47.4% (1,307)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
50.2% (251)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
41.9% (186)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Krejci
Connolly
Home
53.1% (5,660)
48.5% (870)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Krejci
Connolly
P1
50.7%
47.4%
P2
51.8%
47.7%
P3
50.2%
47.0%
OT
53.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2011 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 1, 2011 | OT | 03:11 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 1, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |