Scouting Report
David Legwand holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDonald wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Legwand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 48.7% vs Legwand 50.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 74.8%
Defensive zone
Legwand 80.3%
Neutral zone
Legwand 54.5%
Result
David Legwand favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
McDonald
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McDonald
Legwand
Last 7: McDonald 3-4 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
0
McDonald
Legwand
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
0
4
McDonald
Legwand
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
1
0
McDonald
Legwand
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (103)
49.2% (594)
-4.5%
Power Play
51.8% (85)
56.6% (76)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
52.9% (51)
-2.9%
On power play, Legwand has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. McDonald is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
McDonald shoots left. Legwand is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
McDonald
Legwand
Home
43.8% (105)
50.3% (350)
Away
52.7% (93)
50.1% (371)
By Period
McDonald
Legwand
P1
47.4%
50.2%
P2
48.5%
56.2%
P3
44.9%
45.4%
OT
83.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | David Legwand |