Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.4%). Look for Legwand on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 48.0% vs Roy 47.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Legwand leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 63.5%
Defensive zone
Legwand 50.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Legwand
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Legwand
Roy
Last 10: Legwand 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
5
2
Legwand
Roy
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
3
2
Legwand
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
7
4
Legwand
Roy
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (4,202)
46.4% (3,031)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (516)
53.6% (560)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (481)
46.8% (267)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Legwand is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,407).
Legwand shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Legwand
Roy
Home
50.2% (2,607)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
45.6% (2,611)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Legwand
Roy
P1
49.8%
47.6%
P2
48.0%
46.2%
P3
46.6%
48.5%
OT
35.6%
43.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 1, 2014 | OT | 03:42 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Derek Roy |