Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 48.0% vs Carter 53.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Legwand leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 82.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 82.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 82.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 82.4%
17.6%
82.4%
Legwand
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
14
(34 meetings)
20
14
Legwand
Carter
Last 10: Legwand 6-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
9
Legwand
Carter
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
9
3
Legwand
Carter
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
3
2
Legwand
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (4,202)
53.3% (8,728)
-5.6%
Power Play
55.6% (516)
57.3% (1,554)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (481)
46.3% (1,087)
-4.7%
On even strength, Carter has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Legwand is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,811).
Legwand shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Legwand
Carter
Home
50.2% (2,607)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
45.6% (2,611)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Legwand
Carter
P1
49.8%
53.6%
P2
48.0%
52.8%
P3
46.6%
53.1%
OT
35.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |