Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 48.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 31-20 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Legwand 88.0%
Defensive zone
Legwand 76.0%
Neutral zone
Legwand 79.7%
Result
David Legwand favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Legwand
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
31
(51 meetings)
20
31
Legwand
Duchene
Last 10: Legwand 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
9
Legwand
Duchene
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
9
8
Legwand
Duchene
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
14
Legwand
Duchene
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (4,202)
53.9% (10,396)
-6.2%
Power Play
55.6% (516)
56.9% (1,665)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (481)
49.1% (468)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Legwand is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,407).
Legwand shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Legwand
Duchene
Home
50.2% (2,607)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
45.6% (2,611)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Legwand
Duchene
P1
49.8%
54.5%
P2
48.0%
54.5%
P3
46.6%
53.4%
OT
35.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |