Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 48.0% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Legwand 53.5%
Neutral zone
Legwand 50.6%
Result
David Legwand favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Legwand
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Legwand
Johnson
Last 10: Legwand 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
7
5
Legwand
Johnson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
5
6
Legwand
Johnson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
4
Legwand
Johnson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (4,202)
49.8% (5,396)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.6% (516)
54.6% (885)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (481)
42.3% (707)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Legwand is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,811).
Legwand shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Legwand
Johnson
Home
50.2% (2,607)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
45.6% (2,611)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Legwand
Johnson
P1
49.8%
50.1%
P2
48.0%
50.6%
P3
46.6%
48.4%
OT
35.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | David Legwand |