Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Moss wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Spezza 54.7% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 86.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 63.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 70.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Moss
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Moss
Spezza
Last 7: Moss 4-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Moss
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
4
0
Moss
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Moss
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
54.4% (7,990)
-12.3%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
56.8% (1,726)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
52.7% (643)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Moss is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Moss shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Moss
Spezza
Home
47.0% (336)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
37.3% (343)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Moss
Spezza
P1
38.7%
55.7%
P2
41.9%
54.4%
P3
45.8%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
41.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | David Moss |