Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Moss wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.7% vs Duchene 50.9% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.0%
Defensive zone
Moss 71.9%
Neutral zone
Moss 55.4%
Result
David Moss favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Moss
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Moss
Duchene
Last 10: Moss 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
5
Moss
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
3
1
Moss
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moss
2
1
Moss
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (158)
51.0% (357)
-7.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
53.6% (28)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
50.0% (2)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Moss is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Moss shoots right. Duchene is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Moss
Duchene
Home
52.6% (95)
51.0% (208)
Away
34.4% (125)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Moss
Duchene
P1
37.7%
53.3%
P2
42.6%
53.4%
P3
47.2%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | David Moss |