Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Moss wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Moss 57.4%
Defensive zone
Moss 63.8%
Neutral zone
Moss 65.7%
Result
David Moss favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Moss
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Moss
Duchene
Last 10: Moss 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
5
Moss
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
4
2
Moss
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Moss
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
53.9% (10,396)
-11.8%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
56.9% (1,665)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
49.1% (468)
-9.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Moss is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Moss shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Moss
Duchene
Home
47.0% (336)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
37.3% (343)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Moss
Duchene
P1
38.7%
54.5%
P2
41.9%
54.5%
P3
45.8%
53.4%
OT
40.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
41.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | David Moss |