Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.6% vs Koivu 52.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moss 50.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 53.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 51.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Moss
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Moss
Koivu
Last 8: Moss 4-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moss
3
0
Moss
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Moss
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (277)
51.7% (842)
-10.2%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
55.2% (248)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (48)
55.6% (178)
-5.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Moss is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Moss shoots right. Koivu is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Moss
Koivu
Home
45.0% (191)
54.1% (621)
Away
41.0% (173)
51.6% (672)
By Period
Moss
Koivu
P1
39.3%
52.0%
P2
45.5%
55.5%
P3
44.0%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
43.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |