Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs Koivu 54.0% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moss 53.1%
Defensive zone
Moss 52.7%
Neutral zone
Moss 53.5%
Result
David Moss favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Moss
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Moss
Koivu
Last 9: Moss 4-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moss
3
1
Moss
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Moss
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
54.0% (9,465)
-11.9%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
58.6% (2,100)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
48.9% (1,688)
-9.4%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Moss is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Moss shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Moss
Koivu
Home
47.0% (336)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
37.3% (343)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Moss
Koivu
P1
38.7%
53.5%
P2
41.9%
54.6%
P3
45.8%
54.0%
OT
40.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
41.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2010 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |