Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 43.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 55.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Moss
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Moss
O'Reilly
Last 10: Moss 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moss
3
0
Moss
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Moss
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Moss
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (503)
56.2% (15,260)
-14.1%
Power Play
44.8% (58)
58.8% (3,445)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (114)
51.4% (2,811)
-11.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Moss is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Moss shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Moss
O'Reilly
Home
47.0% (336)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
37.3% (343)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Moss
O'Reilly
P1
38.7%
55.6%
P2
41.9%
57.0%
P3
45.8%
55.1%
OT
40.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
41.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Moss |