Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Saad wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Perron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Perron 40.5% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Perron 56.2%
Defensive zone
Saad 57.6%
Neutral zone
Perron 51.7%
Result
David Perron favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Saad
Perron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Perron
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (532)
37.3% (400)
+3.3%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
44.5% (110)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
33.3% (12)
+4.9%
On power play, Saad has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perron shoots right. Saad is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Saad shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Saad
Perron
Home
42.5% (367)
42.4% (271)
Away
41.0% (346)
34.7% (251)
By Period
Saad
Perron
P1
41.7%
42.2%
P2
41.2%
34.1%
P3
43.1%
39.8%
OT
36.4%
38.9%
Final 5 min
38.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%