Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Perron wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 49.3% vs Backlund 50.3% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Perron 72.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Perron
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (26)
51.0% (1,205)
+6.7%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
59.3% (108)
-46.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Perron is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Perron shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Perron
Backlund
Home
63.6% (22)
51.2% (782)
Away
16.7% (12)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Perron
Backlund
P1
41.7%
51.5%
P2
45.5%
49.8%
P3
54.5%
49.9%
Final 5 min
60.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
47.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%