Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Perron wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 88.1%
Defensive zone
Perron 91.9%
Neutral zone
Perron 89.4%
Result
David Perron favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Perron
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Perron
Crosby
Last 6: Perron 0-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Perron
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Perron
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Perron
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (400)
52.8% (17,990)
-15.5%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
57.4% (4,733)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
47.1% (765)
-13.8%
On even strength, Crosby has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Perron shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Perron
Crosby
Home
42.4% (271)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
34.7% (251)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Perron
Crosby
P1
42.2%
53.6%
P2
34.1%
53.9%
P3
39.8%
53.3%
OT
38.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |