Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steckel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Steckel wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 53.4% vs Pavelski 51.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.2%
Defensive zone
Steckel 75.7%
Neutral zone
Steckel 66.3%
Result
David Steckel favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Steckel
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Steckel
Pavelski
Last 7: Steckel 5-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Steckel
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
4
0
Steckel
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
1
0
Steckel
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (264)
50.4% (480)
+2.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
51.5% (97)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (54)
60.2% (83)
+2.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Steckel is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Steckel shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Steckel
Pavelski
Home
52.8% (178)
53.1% (311)
Away
56.6% (143)
50.7% (349)
By Period
Steckel
Pavelski
P1
48.3%
55.4%
P2
59.8%
49.6%
P3
57.1%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
54.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |