Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steckel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Steckel wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Pavelski 54.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Steckel leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 71.9%
Defensive zone
Steckel 85.5%
Neutral zone
Steckel 58.8%
Result
David Steckel favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Steckel
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Steckel
Pavelski
Last 10: Steckel 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Steckel
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
6
0
Steckel
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
1
0
Steckel
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
53.6% (8,791)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
58.2% (2,122)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
50.9% (1,138)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Steckel is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (847).
Steckel shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Steckel
Pavelski
Home
63.4% (1,163)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Steckel
Pavelski
P1
57.8%
53.5%
P2
61.8%
55.2%
P3
57.9%
53.9%
OT
68.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
61.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |