Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Steckel wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Thornton 54.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 86.1%
Defensive zone
Steckel 72.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 61.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Steckel
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Steckel
Thornton
Last 10: Steckel 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
6
Steckel
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
3
0
Steckel
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Steckel
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
53.5% (6,640)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
57.2% (1,387)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
56.7% (427)
+3.5%
On even strength, Steckel has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Steckel is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,470).
Steckel shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Steckel
Thornton
Home
63.4% (1,163)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Steckel
Thornton
P1
57.8%
55.0%
P2
61.8%
53.3%
P3
57.9%
54.4%
OT
68.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
61.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | David Steckel |