Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steckel wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Vitale 54.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 74.7%
Defensive zone
Vitale 74.1%
Neutral zone
Vitale 77.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Steckel
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Steckel
Vitale
Last 9: Steckel 2-7 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
3
Steckel
Vitale
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
2
Steckel
Vitale
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
2
Steckel
Vitale
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
55.9% (1,771)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
76.0% (25)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
47.1% (297)
+13.1%
On power play, Vitale has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Steckel is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (847).
Steckel shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Home / Away
Steckel
Vitale
Home
63.4% (1,163)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
Steckel
Vitale
P1
57.8%
52.9%
P2
61.8%
53.8%
P3
57.9%
57.5%
OT
68.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
61.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |