Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steckel wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Mitchell 51.0% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 67.1%
Defensive zone
Steckel 61.7%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 56.7%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Steckel
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Steckel
Mitchell
Last 6: Steckel 3-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Steckel
Mitchell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
0
Steckel
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
51.8% (2,965)
+6.8%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
54.1% (196)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
44.1% (401)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Steckel is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,470).
Steckel shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
Steckel
Mitchell
Home
63.4% (1,163)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Steckel
Mitchell
P1
57.8%
52.0%
P2
61.8%
49.9%
P3
57.9%
50.9%
OT
68.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
61.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | John Mitchell |