Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steckel wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 57.4% vs Umberger 49.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 92.4%
Defensive zone
Steckel 72.5%
Neutral zone
Umberger 71.7%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
Steckel
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Steckel
Umberger
Last 6: Steckel 2-4 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
3
Steckel
Umberger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
1
Steckel
Umberger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (759)
50.6% (164)
+6.8%
Power Play
59.5% (37)
49.1% (114)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (292)
40.0% (25)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Steckel is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Steckel shoots left. Umberger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Steckel
Umberger
Home
63.3% (510)
48.8% (166)
Away
53.5% (598)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Steckel
Umberger
P1
59.0%
43.7%
P2
59.9%
52.6%
P3
55.1%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
58.0%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |