Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Steckel wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Umberger 50.1% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 87.4%
Defensive zone
Steckel 84.4%
Neutral zone
Umberger 56.8%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Steckel
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Steckel
Umberger
Last 7: Steckel 3-4 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
3
Steckel
Umberger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
1
0
Steckel
Umberger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
1
Steckel
Umberger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
50.9% (387)
+7.7%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
49.8% (251)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
46.6% (58)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Steckel is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,470).
Steckel shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Steckel
Umberger
Home
63.4% (1,163)
52.3% (365)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Steckel
Umberger
P1
57.8%
50.0%
P2
61.8%
49.3%
P3
57.9%
50.0%
OT
68.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |