Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Steckel wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 82.9%
Defensive zone
Steckel 82.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Steckel
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Steckel
Gagner
Last 10: Steckel 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
6
Steckel
Gagner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Steckel
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
3
0
Steckel
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
45.4% (4,699)
+13.2%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
51.5% (928)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
35.0% (226)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Steckel is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (847).
Steckel shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Steckel
Gagner
Home
63.4% (1,163)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Steckel
Gagner
P1
57.8%
44.6%
P2
61.8%
46.1%
P3
57.9%
47.3%
OT
68.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |