Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Steckel wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 61.0% vs Downie 47.4% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steckel 66.6%
Defensive zone
Steckel 96.7%
Neutral zone
Steckel 89.7%
Result
David Steckel favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Steckel
Downie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Steckel
Downie
Last 5: Steckel 4-1 Downie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Steckel
Downie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
0
Steckel
Downie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
1
0
Steckel
Downie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (595)
50.9% (53)
+10.9%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
38.1% (42)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (187)
0.0% (1)
+62.0%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +62.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Steckel is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Steckel shoots left. Downie is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Steckel
Downie
Home
67.7% (424)
48.8% (41)
Away
56.6% (396)
41.8% (55)
By Period
Steckel
Downie
P1
60.4%
35.5%
P2
64.9%
40.5%
P3
61.2%
63.0%
OT
77.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
64.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
62.3%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | David Steckel |