Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Downie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Steckel wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 58.9% vs Downie 47.5% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steckel 51.4%
Defensive zone
Steckel 95.0%
Neutral zone
Steckel 82.4%
Result
David Steckel favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Steckel
Downie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Steckel
Downie
Last 6: Steckel 4-2 Downie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Downie
1
2
Steckel
Downie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steckel
2
0
Steckel
Downie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
1
0
Steckel
Downie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,674)
48.1% (131)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
43.7% (71)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
60.2% (543)
0.0% (1)
+60.2%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +60.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Steckel is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (847).
Steckel shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Steckel
Downie
Home
63.4% (1,163)
49.5% (93)
Away
55.1% (1,154)
43.6% (110)
By Period
Steckel
Downie
P1
57.8%
41.8%
P2
61.8%
38.6%
P3
57.9%
60.0%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
59.3%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | David Steckel |