Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Brown 47.3% (+15.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 50.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Mercer
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
20.0% (10)
+15.4%
On even strength, Mercer has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Brown is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Mercer
Brown
Home
39.9% (283)
0.0% (3)
Away
31.3% (307)
28.6% (7)
By Period
Mercer
Brown
P1
37.7%
20.0%
P2
32.1%
0.0%
P3
37.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
35.4%
Brown
28.0%▼
36.0%
20.0%