Dawson Mercer vs Dylan Strome

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Strome holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 39.9% vs Strome 51.6% (-12.4%)
H2H factor Strome leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Mercer 56.1%
Defensive zone Mercer 67.4%
Neutral zone Mercer 64.2%
Result Dawson Mercer favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Mercer Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 6 (10 meetings)
4
6
Mercer Strome
Last 10: Mercer 4-6 Strome

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Mercer Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
1
Mercer Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Mercer Strome
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
50.1% (6,337)
-11.0%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
58.4% (1,519)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
45.6% (68)
-5.6%
On power play, Strome has a +17.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Strome shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Home / Away
Mercer
Strome
Home
40.0% (755)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
38.5% (792)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Mercer
Strome
P1
38.2%
50.4%
P2
39.2%
52.1%
P3
41.1%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
52.8%
Final 5 min
39.6%
52.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.2%
Strome
44.0%
55.0%
51.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 15, 2025 3 06:07 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Nov 15, 2025 3 03:20 Offensive Dylan Strome
Feb 20, 2024 3 18:57 Neutral Dylan Strome
Nov 10, 2023 3 15:15 Defensive Dylan Strome
Nov 10, 2023 3 10:41 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Nov 10, 2023 3 07:13 Neutral Dylan Strome
Nov 10, 2023 2 19:31 Defensive Dawson Mercer
Nov 10, 2023 2 19:23 Defensive Dawson Mercer
Nov 10, 2023 1 15:17 Offensive Dylan Strome
Nov 26, 2022 1 09:56 Offensive Dylan Strome