Dawson Mercer vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 35.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 42.2% vs Ek 49.4% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 61.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 63.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Mercer
Ek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
47.7% (671)
-8.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.9% (206)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
49.0% (155)
+6.6%
On power play, Ek has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Mercer is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Mercer shoots right. Ek is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Mercer
Ek
Home
34.1% (126)
50.3% (565)
Away
43.8% (144)
48.2% (467)
By Period
Mercer
Ek
P1
31.3%
47.4%
P2
44.0%
54.3%
P3
43.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
35.4%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%