Dawson Mercer vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Ek 48.8% (-9.7%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 65.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 53.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Mercer
Ek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
47.2% (815)
-8.4%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
53.8% (266)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
47.8% (180)
+2.2%
On power play, Ek has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Mercer
Ek
Home
34.7% (144)
49.9% (693)
Away
43.2% (146)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Mercer
Ek
P1
32.7%
46.2%
P2
42.7%
52.6%
P3
42.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
39.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%