Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Laughton 50.7% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 74.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 69.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 69.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Mercer
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Mercer
Laughton
Last 7: Mercer 2-5 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Mercer
Laughton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Mercer
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mercer
Laughton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
52.3% (398)
-11.3%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
51.4% (37)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
41.3% (63)
-4.9%
On power play, Laughton has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Laughton is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Mercer
Laughton
Home
45.2% (126)
51.2% (285)
Away
35.1% (111)
50.2% (213)
By Period
Mercer
Laughton
P1
34.5%
50.0%
P2
43.4%
55.9%
P3
45.8%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |