Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Malgin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Malgin 41.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 85.6%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 64.9%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 75.3%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Czarnik
Malgin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Czarnik
Malgin
Last 5: Czarnik 5-0 Malgin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
1
0
Czarnik
Malgin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
4
0
Czarnik
Malgin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Malgin
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (116)
36.9% (179)
+8.8%
Power Play
20.0% (10)
20.0% (5)
+0.0%
On even strength, Czarnik has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malgin shoots right. Czarnik is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Czarnik shoots right. Malgin is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Malgin
Home
42.6% (61)
33.0% (88)
Away
43.1% (72)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Czarnik
Malgin
P1
39.6%
34.2%
P2
55.8%
40.0%
P3
27.3%
34.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
31.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.9%
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |