Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malgin wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 45.9% vs Tavares 52.7% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 56.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.4%
Neutral zone
Malgin 54.0%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Malgin
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malgin
Tavares
Last 5: Malgin 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malgin
2
0
Malgin
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Malgin
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (108)
52.9% (1,239)
-9.4%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
54.7% (309)
-19.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Malgin is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Malgin shoots right. Tavares is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Malgin
Tavares
Home
38.2% (55)
55.0% (864)
Away
46.3% (67)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Malgin
Tavares
P1
36.4%
51.8%
P2
45.7%
51.4%
P3
44.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
42.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |