Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Malgin wins 36.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 41.2% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-21.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 87.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 77.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Malgin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malgin
O'Reilly
Last 5: Malgin 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malgin
1
0
Malgin
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malgin
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (179)
57.9% (1,179)
-21.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
63.0% (292)
-43.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Malgin is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Malgin shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Malgin
O'Reilly
Home
33.0% (88)
61.3% (884)
Away
39.6% (96)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Malgin
O'Reilly
P1
34.2%
55.5%
P2
40.0%
61.0%
P3
34.0%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
31.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
36.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Denis Malgin |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Denis Malgin |