Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Malgin wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 40.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 92.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 87.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 86.6%
13.4%
86.6%
Malgin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malgin
O'Reilly
Last 6: Malgin 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malgin
2
0
Malgin
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malgin
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (535)
56.2% (15,260)
-17.3%
Power Play
42.9% (28)
58.8% (3,445)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
51.4% (2,811)
-1.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Malgin is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Malgin shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Malgin
O'Reilly
Home
37.4% (273)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
40.9% (298)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Malgin
O'Reilly
P1
37.2%
55.6%
P2
39.0%
57.0%
P3
40.7%
55.1%
OT
100.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
43.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Denis Malgin |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Denis Malgin |