Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Malgin wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 40.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malgin 83.3%
Defensive zone
Malgin 84.4%
Neutral zone
Malgin 85.0%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Malgin
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Malgin
Bozak
Last 10: Malgin 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malgin
1
0
Malgin
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Malgin
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
5
Malgin
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (535)
53.7% (9,596)
-14.8%
Power Play
42.9% (28)
55.2% (1,990)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.0%
On even strength, Bozak has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Malgin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Malgin shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Malgin
Bozak
Home
37.4% (273)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
40.9% (298)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Malgin
Bozak
P1
37.2%
53.2%
P2
39.0%
52.8%
P3
40.7%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
43.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |