Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Grant 51.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 68.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 67.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.5%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Smith
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Smith
Grant
Last 8: Smith 5-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Smith
Grant
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
53.2% (308)
+1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.5% (13)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
46.0% (63)
-1.5%
On power play, Smith has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Smith
Grant
Home
54.0% (274)
50.9% (161)
Away
47.9% (194)
53.4% (223)
By Period
Smith
Grant
P1
51.7%
53.4%
P2
51.7%
47.9%
P3
51.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Derek Grant |