Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Grant 51.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 80.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 77.3%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 52.4%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Wheeler
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Wheeler
Grant
Last 10: Wheeler 3-7 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
2
Wheeler
Grant
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
4
Wheeler
Grant
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Wheeler
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
51.7% (480)
-1.1%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
63.0% (54)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
47.5% (160)
-1.7%
On power play, Grant has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Wheeler is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Wheeler shoots right. Grant is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Grant
Home
52.8% (352)
54.8% (334)
Away
46.3% (300)
48.6% (360)
By Period
Wheeler
Grant
P1
46.8%
54.7%
P2
57.7%
46.1%
P3
44.8%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |