Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.1% vs Grant 52.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 50.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 57.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Cizikas
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Cizikas
Grant
Last 6: Cizikas 1-5 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
2
Cizikas
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Cizikas
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Cizikas
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (815)
54.7% (397)
-4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
62.5% (8)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (188)
44.5% (110)
+0.2%
On even strength, Grant has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Cizikas is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Cizikas shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Grant
Home
49.3% (477)
53.6% (222)
Away
48.9% (536)
51.9% (293)
By Period
Cizikas
Grant
P1
49.3%
48.5%
P2
51.5%
54.3%
P3
45.7%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
49.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Derek Grant |