Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Coyle wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.4% vs Grant 52.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 84.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 78.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Coyle
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Coyle
Grant
Last 10: Coyle 1-9 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
Coyle
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
5
Coyle
Grant
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (603)
54.7% (397)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.9% (55)
62.5% (8)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
44.5% (110)
-10.4%
On power play, Grant has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Coyle is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Coyle shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Coyle
Grant
Home
45.6% (373)
53.6% (222)
Away
46.2% (329)
51.9% (293)
By Period
Coyle
Grant
P1
45.9%
48.5%
P2
46.4%
54.3%
P3
45.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |