Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Gambrell 46.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 77.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 83.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 84.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Grant
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
9
(24 meetings)
15
9
Grant
Gambrell
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Grant
Gambrell
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Grant
Gambrell
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
7
1
Grant
Gambrell
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
47.4% (1,627)
+6.3%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
36.4% (33)
+25.3%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
40.4% (314)
+5.6%
On power play, Grant has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Home / Away
Grant
Gambrell
Home
54.3% (1,956)
44.3% (994)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
48.1% (980)
By Period
Grant
Gambrell
P1
51.1%
44.3%
P2
51.5%
49.8%
P3
54.3%
44.5%
OT
35.7%
12.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Derek Grant |