Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Strome 48.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 92.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 53.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 79.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 86.4%
13.6%
86.4%
Grant
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Grant
Strome
Last 8: Grant 1-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
7
Grant
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
48.3% (894)
+8.2%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
50.5% (182)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
66.7% (6)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Grant
Strome
Home
60.3% (257)
46.4% (513)
Away
49.6% (236)
51.0% (569)
By Period
Grant
Strome
P1
54.7%
44.9%
P2
54.0%
50.8%
P3
57.1%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |