Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Kuznetsov 39.7% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 67.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 96.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 90.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Grant
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Grant
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Grant 8-2 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Kuznetsov
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
7
0
Grant
Kuznetsov
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Kuznetsov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
39.0% (960)
+15.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
37.8% (45)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
27.8% (18)
+16.7%
On power play, Grant has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Grant shoots left. Kuznetsov is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Grant
Kuznetsov
Home
53.6% (222)
40.3% (533)
Away
51.9% (293)
36.9% (490)
By Period
Grant
Kuznetsov
P1
48.5%
37.8%
P2
54.3%
41.5%
P3
55.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |