Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 72.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 86.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 69.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Grant
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Grant
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
2
Grant
Kuznetsov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
2
Grant
Kuznetsov
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
4
3
Grant
Kuznetsov
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
47.7% (927)
+8.8%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
53.5% (71)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
39.4% (71)
+9.1%
On power play, Grant has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Grant
Kuznetsov
Home
60.3% (257)
45.9% (534)
Away
49.6% (236)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Grant
Kuznetsov
P1
54.7%
44.8%
P2
54.0%
52.1%
P3
57.1%
44.5%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |